本(běn )文(wén )转(zhuǎn )自(zì )【中(zhōng )央(yāng )气(qì )象(xiàng )台(tái )】；

南(nán )方(fāng )地(dì )区(qū )将(jiāng )有(yǒu )新(xīn )一(yī )轮(lún )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )过(guò )程(chéng )

华(huá )北(běi )黄(huáng )淮(huái )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )高(gāo )温(wēn )天(tiān )气(qì )发(fā )展(zhǎn )

摘(zhāi )要(yào )：

国(guó )内(nèi )方(fāng )面(miàn )，昨(zuó )日(rì )，西(xī )藏(cáng )、四(sì )川(chuān )、陕(shǎn )西(xī )、云(yún )南(nán )等(děng )地(dì )出(chū )现(xiàn )中(zhōng )雨(yǔ )。预(yù )计(jì )13日(rì )至(zhì )16日(rì )，南(nán )方(fāng )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )降(jiàng )雨(yǔ )和(hé )强(qiáng )对(duì )流(liú )天(tiān )气(qì )过(guò )程(chéng )，关(guān )注(zhù )局(jú )地(dì )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )雨(yǔ )可(kě )能(néng )引(yǐn )发(fā )的(de )次(cì )生(shēng )灾(zāi )害(hài )；同(tóng )时(shí )，华(huá )北(běi )北(běi )部(bù )、内(nèi )蒙(méng )古(gǔ )东(dōng )部(bù )、东(dōng )北(běi )地(dì )区(qū )等(děng )地(dì )有(yǒu )阵(zhèn )雨(yǔ )天(tiān )气(qì )，华(huá )北(běi )东(dōng )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )关(guān )注(zhù )局(jú )地(dì )强(qiáng )对(duì )流(liú )天(tiān )气(qì )危(wēi )害(hài )。另(lìng )外(wài )，华(huá )北(běi )南(nán )部(bù )、黄(huáng )淮(huái )中(zhōng )西(xī )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )晴(qíng )热(rè )温(wēn )高(gāo )，关(guān )注(zhù )冬(dōng )小(xiǎo )麦(mài )干(gàn )热(rè )风(fēng )灾(zāi )害(hài )风(fēng )险(xiǎn )。

全(quán )球(qiú )方(fāng )面(miàn )，昨(zuó )日(rì )，美(měi )国(guó )墨(mò )西(xī )哥(gē )中(zhōng )南(nán )半(bàn )岛(dǎo )等(děng )地(dì )出(chū )现(xiàn )较(jiào )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )雨(yǔ )。未(wèi )来(lái )三(sān )天(tiān )，美(měi )国(guó )东(dōng )部(bù )和(hé )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )有(yǒu )较(jiào )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )；中(zhōng )南(nán )半(bàn )岛(dǎo )印(yìn )度(dù )东(dōng )北(běi )部(bù )有(yǒu )较(jiào )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )雨(yǔ )。

一(yī )、国(guó )内(nèi )天(tiān )气(qì )情(qíng )况(kuàng )

1.实(shí )况(kuàng )

昨(zuó )日(rì )西(xī )藏(cáng )四(sì )川(chuān )陕(shǎn )西(xī )云(yún )南(nán )等(děng )地(dì )出(chū )现(xiàn )降(jiàng )雨(yǔ )

昨(zuó )日(rì )8时(shí )至(zhì )今(jīn )日(rì )6时(shí )，西(xī )藏(cáng )东(dōng )部(bù )、四(sì )川(chuān )北(běi )部(bù )、陕(shǎn )西(xī )西(xī )南(nán )部(bù )、云(yún )南(nán )西(xī )部(bù )及(jí )海(hǎi )南(nán )岛(dǎo )南(nán )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )出(chū )现(xiàn )中(zhōng )雨(yǔ )，局(jú )地(dì )大(dà )雨(yǔ )，海(hǎi )南(nán )岛(dǎo )三(sān )亚(yà )局(jú )地(dì )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )（50～78毫(háo )米(mǐ )）。

新(xīn )疆(jiāng )东(dōng )部(bù )、西(xī )藏(cáng )西(xī )部(bù )、川(chuān )西(xī )高(gāo )原(yuán )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )、内(nèi )蒙(méng )古(gǔ )中(zhōng )西(xī )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )出(chū )现(xiàn )7～9级(jí )阵(zhèn )风(fēng )，局(jú )地(dì )10～11级(jí )。

2.重(chóng )点(diǎn )天(tiān )气(qì )预(yù )报(bào )

（1）南(nán )方(fāng )地(dì )区(qū )将(jiāng )有(yǒu )新(xīn )一(yī )轮(lún )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )过(guò )程(chéng )

13至(zhì )16日(rì )，西(xī )南(nán )地(dì )区(qū )东(dōng )部(bù )、江(jiāng )汉(hàn )、江(jiāng )南(nán )、华(huá )南(nán )西(xī )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )将(jiāng )有(yǒu )中(zhōng )到(dào )大(dà )雨(yǔ )，局(jú )地(dì )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )或(huò )大(dà )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )，伴(bàn )有(yǒu )短(duǎn )时(shí )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )雷(léi )暴(bào )大(dà )风(fēng )等(děng )强(qiáng )对(duì )流(liú )天(tiān )气(qì )。同(tóng )时(shí )，华(huá )北(běi )北(běi )部(bù )、内(nèi )蒙(méng )古(gǔ )东(dōng )部(bù )、东(dōng )北(běi )地(dì )区(qū )等(děng )地(dì )有(yǒu )小(xiǎo )到(dào )中(zhōng )雨(yǔ )或(huò )雷(léi )阵(zhèn )雨(yǔ )，局(jú )地(dì )大(dà )雨(yǔ )；13至(zhì )14日(rì )，华(huá )北(běi )东(dōng )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )伴(bàn )有(yǒu )短(duǎn )时(shí )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )、雷(léi )暴(bào )大(dà )风(fēng )或(huò )冰(bīng )雹(báo )等(děng )强(qiáng )对(duì )流(liú )天(tiān )气(qì )。

（2）华(huá )北(běi )黄(huáng )淮(huái )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )高(gāo )温(wēn )天(tiān )气(qì )发(fā )展(zhǎn )

13日(rì )起(qǐ )，黄(huáng )淮(huái )中(zhōng )西(xī )部(bù )、华(huá )北(běi )南(nán )部(bù )及(jí )陕(shǎn )西(xī )关(guān )中(zhōng )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )将(jiāng )出(chū )现(xiàn )高(gāo )温(wēn )天(tiān )气(qì )，受(shòu )两(liǎng )股(gǔ )弱(ruò )冷(lěng )空(kōng )气(qì )前(qián )后(hòu )影(yǐng )响(xiǎng )，18日(rì )前(qián )高(gāo )温(wēn )范(fàn )围(wéi )较(jiào )小(xiǎo )且(qiě )多(duō )变(biàn )，预(yù )计(jì )19-20日(rì )，高(gāo )温(wēn )强(qiáng )度(dù )增(zēng )强(qiáng )、范(fàn )围(wéi )显(xiǎn )著(zhe )扩(kuò )大(dà )；上(shàng )述(shù )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )的(de )冬(dōng )麦(mài )区(qū )将(jiāng )出(chū )现(xiàn )3-5天(tiān )明(míng )显(xiǎn )干(gàn )热(rè )风(fēng )天(tiān )气(qì )。

二(èr )、全(quán )球(qiú )天(tiān )气(qì )情(qíng )况(kuàng )

1.实(shí )况(kuàng )

美(měi )国(guó )墨(mò )西(xī )哥(gē )中(zhōng )南(nán )半(bàn )岛(dǎo )等(děng )地(dì )出(chū )现(xiàn )较(jiào )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )雨(yǔ )

昨(zuó )日(rì )，美(měi )国(guó )东(dōng )南(nán )部(bù )、加(jiā )拿(ná )大(dà )东(dōng )南(nán )部(bù )、墨(mò )西(xī )哥(gē )南(nán )部(bù )、危(wēi )地(dì )马(mǎ )拉(lā )、洪(hóng )都(dōu )拉(lā )斯(sī )、苏(sū )里(lǐ )南(nán )北(běi )部(bù )、巴(bā )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )和(hé )东(dōng )部(bù )沿(yán )海(hǎi )、西(xī )班(bān )牙(yá )北(běi )部(bù )、瑞(ruì )士(shì )西(xī )部(bù )、西(xī )西(xī )伯(bó )利(lì )亚(yà )南(nán )部(bù )、巴(bā )基(jī )斯(sī )坦(tǎn )东(dōng )北(běi )部(bù )、印(yìn )度(dù )、孟(mèng )加(jiā )拉(lā )国(guó )、中(zhōng )南(nán )半(bàn )岛(dǎo )、马(mǎ )来(lái )西(xī )亚(yà )、印(yìn )度(dù )尼(ní )西(xī )亚(yà )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )出(chū )现(xiàn )中(zhōng )到(dào )大(dà )雨(yǔ )，局(jú )地(dì )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )或(huò )大(dà )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )，上(shàng )述(shù )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )伴(bàn )有(yǒu )短(duǎn )时(shí )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )、雷(léi )暴(bào )大(dà )风(fēng )等(děng )强(qiáng )对(duì )流(liú )天(tiān )气(qì )。此(cǐ )外(wài )，加(jiā )拿(ná )大(dà )北(běi )部(bù )、西(xī )伯(bó )利(lì )亚(yà )北(běi )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )出(chū )现(xiàn )小(xiǎo )到(dào )中(zhōng )雪(xuě )或(huò )雨(yǔ )夹(jiá )雪(xuě )，局(jú )地(dì )大(dà )雪(xuě )。

2.重(chóng )点(diǎn )天(tiān )气(qì )预(yù )报(bào )

（1）美(měi )国(guó )东(dōng )部(bù )和(hé )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )有(yǒu )较(jiào )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )

未(wèi )来(lái )三(sān )天(tiān )，加(jiā )拿(ná )大(dà )中(zhōng )西(xī )部(bù )和(hé )东(dōng )南(nán )部(bù )、美(měi )国(guó )中(zhōng )东(dōng )部(bù )和(hé )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )、墨(mò )西(xī )哥(gē )南(nán )部(bù )、古(gǔ )巴(bā )等(děng )地(dì )的(de )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )小(xiǎo )到(dào )中(zhōng )雨(yǔ )，其(qí )中(zhōng )，美(měi )国(guó )东(dōng )部(bù )和(hé )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )、加(jiā )拿(ná )大(dà )西(xī )南(nán )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )大(dà )雨(yǔ )或(huò )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )，美(měi )国(guó )东(dōng )部(bù )局(jú )地(dì )大(dà )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )，部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )将(jiāng )伴(bàn )有(yǒu )短(duǎn )时(shí )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )、雷(léi )暴(bào )大(dà )风(fēng )、冰(bīng )雹(báo )等(děng )强(qiáng )对(duì )流(liú )天(tiān )气(qì )。

（2）中(zhōng )南(nán )半(bàn )岛(dǎo )印(yìn )度(dù )东(dōng )北(běi )部(bù )有(yǒu )较(jiào )强(qiáng )降(jiàng )雨(yǔ )

未(wèi )来(lái )三(sān )天(tiān )，土(tǔ )耳(ěr )其(qí )、阿(ā )塞(sāi )拜(bài )疆(jiāng )、西(xī )西(xī )伯(bó )利(lì )亚(yà )南(nán )部(bù )、中(zhōng )西(xī )伯(bó )利(lì )亚(yà )中(zhōng )南(nán )部(bù )、蒙(méng )古(gǔ )、远(yuǎn )东(dōng )地(dì )区(qū )南(nán )部(bù )、印(yìn )度(dù )中(zhōng )南(nán )部(bù )和(hé )东(dōng )部(bù )、孟(mèng )加(jiā )拉(lā )国(guó )、中(zhōng )南(nán )半(bàn )岛(dǎo )、印(yìn )度(dù )尼(ní )西(xī )亚(yà )、马(mǎ )来(lái )西(xī )亚(yà )、菲(fēi )律(lǜ )宾(bīn )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )小(xiǎo )到(dào )中(zhōng )雨(yǔ )，中(zhōng )南(nán )半(bàn )岛(dǎo )、印(yìn )度(dù )东(dōng )北(běi )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )局(jú )地(dì )有(yǒu )大(dà )雨(yǔ )或(huò )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )。此(cǐ )外(wài )，阿(ā )拉(lā )伯(bó )半(bàn )岛(dǎo )东(dōng )部(bù )、伊(yī )朗(lǎng )南(nán )部(bù )、阿(ā )富(fù )汗(hàn )南(nán )部(bù )、巴(bā )基(jī )斯(sī )坦(tǎn )东(dōng )部(bù )和(hé )南(nán )部(bù )、印(yìn )度(dù )中(zhōng )北(běi )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )仍(réng )有(yǒu )37℃以(yǐ )上(shàng )高(gāo )温(wēn )天(tiān )气(qì )，局(jú )地(dì )超(chāo )过(guò )40℃。

三(sān )、国(guó )内(nèi )未(wèi )来(lái )三(sān )天(tiān )具(jù )体(tǐ )预(yù )报(bào )

5月(yuè )13日(rì )08时(shí )至(zhì )14日(rì )08时(shí )，内(nèi )蒙(méng )古(gǔ )东(dōng )北(běi )部(bù )、黑(hēi )龙(lóng )江(jiāng )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )及(jí )中(zhōng )东(dōng )部(bù )、西(xī )藏(cáng )东(dōng )部(bù )、青(qīng )海(hǎi )南(nán )部(bù )、河(hé )北(běi )北(běi )部(bù )、湖(hú )北(běi )中(zhōng )西(xī )部(bù )、陕(shǎn )西(xī )南(nán )部(bù )、重(chóng )庆(qìng )北(běi )部(bù )、四(sì )川(chuān )南(nán )部(bù )、云(yún )南(nán )东(dōng )北(běi )部(bù )、贵(guì )州(zhōu )中(zhōng )西(xī )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )中(zhōng )到(dào )大(dà )雨(yǔ )，其(qí )中(zhōng )，西(xī )藏(cáng )东(dōng )南(nán )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )（50～70毫(háo )米(mǐ )）。内(nèi )蒙(méng )古(gǔ )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )、辽(liáo )宁(níng )北(běi )部(bù )和(hé )南(nán )部(bù )、新(xīn )疆(jiāng )南(nán )疆(jiāng )盆(pén )地(dì )、宁(níng )夏(xià )北(běi )部(bù )、山(shān )东(dōng )中(zhōng )东(dōng )部(bù )、安(ān )徽(huī )中(zhōng )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )4～6级(jí )风(fēng )（见(jiàn )图(tú )1）。

图(tú )1 全(quán )国(guó )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )量(liàng )预(yù )报(bào )图(tú )（5月(yuè )13日(rì )08时(shí )-14日(rì )08时(shí )）

5月(yuè )14日(rì )08时(shí )至(zhì )15日(rì )08时(shí )，吉(jí )林(lín )中(zhōng )部(bù )和(hé )东(dōng )部(bù )、辽(liáo )宁(níng )北(běi )部(bù )、湖(hú )北(běi )东(dōng )部(bù )和(hé )南(nán )部(bù )、安(ān )徽(huī )西(xī )南(nán )部(bù )、江(jiāng )西(xī )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )、湖(hú )南(nán )大(dà )部(bù )、广(guǎng )西(xī )西(xī )部(bù )和(hé )北(běi )部(bù )、海(hǎi )南(nán )岛(dǎo )、四(sì )川(chuān )南(nán )部(bù )、云(yún )南(nán )中(zhōng )东(dōng )部(bù )、贵(guì )州(zhōu )东(dōng )部(bù )和(hé )南(nán )部(bù )、西(xī )藏(cáng )东(dōng )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )中(zhōng )到(dào )大(dà )雨(yǔ )，其(qí )中(zhōng )，西(xī )藏(cáng )东(dōng )南(nán )部(bù )、湖(hú )南(nán )中(zhōng )部(bù )、贵(guì )州(zhōu )东(dōng )南(nán )部(bù )、广(guǎng )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )（50～90毫(háo )米(mǐ )）。内(nèi )蒙(méng )古(gǔ )东(dōng )南(nán )部(bù )和(hé )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )、辽(liáo )东(dōng )半(bàn )岛(dǎo )、华(huá )北(běi )南(nán )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )4～5级(jí )风(fēng )（见(jiàn )图(tú )2）。

图(tú )2 全(quán )国(guó )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )量(liàng )预(yù )报(bào )图(tú )（5月(yuè )14日(rì )08时(shí )-15日(rì )08时(shí )）

5月(yuè )15日(rì )08时(shí )至(zhì )16日(rì )08时(shí )，湖(hú )北(běi )东(dōng )南(nán )部(bù )、安(ān )徽(huī )南(nán )部(bù )、江(jiāng )苏(sū )南(nán )部(bù )、上(shàng )海(hǎi )、浙(zhè )江(jiāng )北(běi )部(bù )、江(jiāng )西(xī )大(dà )部(bù )、湖(hú )南(nán )中(zhōng )部(bù )、广(guǎng )东(dōng )中(zhōng )西(xī )部(bù )、广(guǎng )西(xī )大(dà )部(bù )、四(sì )川(chuān )南(nán )部(bù )、贵(guì )州(zhōu )南(nán )部(bù )、西(xī )藏(cáng )东(dōng )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )中(zhōng )到(dào )大(dà )雨(yǔ )，其(qí )中(zhōng )，安(ān )徽(huī )南(nán )部(bù )、湖(hú )南(nán )中(zhōng )南(nán )部(bù )、江(jiāng )西(xī )北(běi )部(bù )、广(guǎng )西(xī )东(dōng )北(běi )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )或(huò )大(dà )暴(bào )雨(yǔ )（100～120毫(háo )米(mǐ )）。内(nèi )蒙(méng )古(gǔ )中(zhōng )西(xī )部(bù )和(hé )东(dōng )北(běi )部(bù )、辽(liáo )宁(níng )中(zhōng )部(bù )等(děng )地(dì )部(bù )分(fèn )地(dì )区(qū )有(yǒu )4～6级(jí )风(fēng )（见(jiàn )图(tú )3）。

图(tú )3 全(quán )国(guó )降(jiàng )水(shuǐ )量(liàng )预(yù )报(bào )图(tú )（5月(yuè )15日(rì )08时(shí )-16日(rì )08时(shí )）